Difficult Times For European Union

June 29, 2025
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Tensions are growing in the European Union, and the semblance of internal cohesion that is trying to be shown to the outside is fading more and more, so the "miraculous formula" of Brussels "about unity in diversity" is becoming more and more difficult to pass.

There are a lot of disagreements. These range from the attitude towards Donald Trump on all important issues, ideological disagreements, and American trade policy towards the EU. The sanctions packages introduced against Russia after the war with Ukraine best shows how ineffective they are for the (geo)political goals they were supposed to achieve, and at the same time devastating for European economic interests. There is also conflict concerning the high (5%) defense expenditures insisted on by NATO officials (primarily Secretary General Mark Rutte) which was formally accepted at the summit of the North Atlantic Alliance in The Hague.

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The European Union is exposed to increasing problems of a political, economic and defense nature, and not least, social ones as well. On the heads of innocent citizens (whom no one asks anything about important matters), while apparently democratic and fair elections give them the appearance of enjoying the benefits of a popular European democracy - more and more often the EU rules according to the recent Romanian model, or rather according to the model of the controlled Soviet "people's democracy" where everything is allowed as long as you are within the framework of the given strategic policy.

Also in Brussels, there is a rebellion of the socialists (the second largest political group in the European Parliament) not only against the attempt of the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, to soften the EU's green agenda, but also to prevent her reduction of budget funds for the training of young people and the unemployed.

Von der Leyen, of the center-right European People's Party (EPP), needs the Socialists as part of a centrist coalition to pass legislation in the European Parliament. For her, this is an ominous signal that the left center is already preparing for a tough game regarding the next EU budget, namely the Multiannual Financial Framework. The fight will depend on the social fund - worth 142.7 billion euros in the budget for 2021-2027. – which should fight poverty and support vulnerable groups. Von der Leyen wants that money to be directed more towards defense and industrial expansion.

The European Union does not have a strategy; policy is coordinated between a couple of the most powerful countries, that is, Germany and France. And the elites in Germany and France are now, in the increasingly complex global geopolitical circumstances, forced to make a sharp reorganization of their strategies. The green agenda recedes into the background while militarization comes to the fore. This reorganization cannot remain invisible both in terms of its structure (importance) and volume - and that is why it causes strong tremors. Because globalism, which they themselves insisted on for decades until recently, is now dead, and something similar is being written about the green transition.

The main task of Brussels now is militarization, i.e. helping the European military-industrial complex in the production of weapons and that is an unstoppable process. In this sense, certain norms and rules imposed on the European industry as part of the green agenda must be waived - primarily the automotive industry, part of which will be repurposed for the production of military equipment and weapons - such as the German Volkswagen (an analogy with the Second World War).

However, Brussels will very soon meet Trump's key demands, which will boil down to the following: you can militarize quickly through an increase in defense spending because we will no longer defend you, but by no means in a way that you reject American modern weapons. That is they will have to continue to buy, while the European military industry should focus on the production of cheaper (long unattractive for investors) classical weapons such as ammunition, artillery and tanks.

Quite simply, the White House is no longer occupied by a senile president, but by Donald Trump, who puts America first. And Trump keeps his promises. The European Union will no longer be able to use the United States for its strategic interests. In other words, if the European Union wants to be economic and military power, it will have to respect American interests.

This is where problems arise because most of the countries of the European Union have significant economic problems. Even if the European Union were to buy only domestic weapons for a significant part of the countries, it would be a problem because their economies are not strong enough for militarization. Instead of solving problems, the militarization of the European Union is suddenly and violently imposed. It has already divided the European Union because countries like Spain, Hungary, and Slovakia are against it. As time goes on, the fact that the European Union is increasingly divided and weakened will become more and more visible and it will not be able to hide.

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